Thursday, March 31, 2011
The Responsibility to Protect and State Sovereignty: The Case Against Libya
Thursday, March 17, 2011
Ode to an Emperor

Having led a privileged life as Brother Leader and guide of the Libyan ‘Revolution’ for 41 years now, Col. Muammar Gaddafi is an alien to living as an ordinary man again, and that is why he finds calls that he should step down as Libya’s leader as an anathema. Even though what was supposed to be Libya’s version of the Jasmine Revolution has now morphed into a civil war which is increasingly claiming lives, destroying properties and crippling the future, Gaddafi has shown no signs of stepping down and has even vowed to fight till the last breath.
Events in recent days show the Emperor regaining control of Libya, confident once again that he might win this war. As his son, Saif al-Islam puts it: “Everything will be over in 48 hours.”
Since the beginning of the Libyan revolution, some people, I included, have been making extra efforts to understand how the Gaddafi mind works, his philosophy of governance issues of state security and negotiating peace. For this special task, I have made extra efforts, often at personal discomfort to finish reading Gaddafi’s treatise on governance, The Green Book. The first time I endeavored to read the book was in 1999, but it took a revolution in the desert country a decade and two years after for me to finish it up.
Gaddafi was clear enough in his philosophy: Democracy is sham and it robs people of their powers.
He was baffled how one person for instance could represent a constituency of thousands. That is injustice. For him, pluralistic governance composed of people’s congresses and committees is the key to the prosperity of the nation. He described his system as Islamic/Arab socialism, where people themselves should be the executor of power.
My understanding of this is that it is Gaddafi who had betrayed his treatise, by instituting an inner circle of committee loyal to him alone and not to the country, to be the executor of people’s will. By neutralising an atmosphere by which people could line up behind another leader, Gaddafi has instituted a monolithic structure that pays tribute to himself alone, effectively neutering opposition.
Maybe Gaddafi needs a lesson from his own book. The Libyan revolution, the one that is happening now, is just what Gaddafi had idealized. According to him, the people should have a direct say in the affairs of the government, not through layers and layers of committees and congresses that mean only one thing: Gaddafi.
The people have formed their own committees, not committees formed on their behalf and are now demanding their own agenda. They were demanding that Gaddafi has had enough shot at the No. 1 spot. It was an agenda drawn up by the people themselves, not by external actors, as Gaddafi wants us believe. If this revolution had been to fight, let’s say the Americans, I believe Gaddafi himself would edge the people on.
As Western diplomats have written (thanks to Wikileaks!), no one really understands the Gaddafi mind, or what the next script in his playbook could be. However, if we take some liberty to examine his past conducts and speeches, it portrays a person torn between the divisions in himself, thus, portraying to the world two-sidedness that could only point to larger inner contradictions.
In a fiery broadcast in the early days of this revolution, Gaddafi had said he has no position to stand down from, that he would fight till the last ounce of his breath. Gaddafi said the people fighting for their freedom are not revolutionaries; they are al-Qaeda frontmen who have been supplied with ammunition and are high on drugs.
Would the Emperor define for us what a revolution could have meant? Gaddafi had once sought to rewrite history by labelling his coup d’etat as a revolution. In all major revolutions of the world, an institution has grown out of the popular disaffection people have for previous rulers. They are aware of the misgivings of the previous regimes, and rather than entrench themselves, they build institutions. This is not the case in Libya, where everything has revolved around Gaddafi.
Gaddafi told us that he has no position to stand down from. Is that true? If he has no position in the Libyan hierarchy, why is he the face of that country at international fora? His argument could have been tenable if the General Secretary of the Libyan People’s Congress for instance had been the Libyan head of state who represent the country at the Africa Union level, or if he (GS) had been the one who addressed diplomats at the 2009 United Nations General Assembly. For all we know, Gaddafi was not representing anybody at these fora. He represented himself as the leader of Libya. That exactly is the position the protesters want him step down from.
Gaddafi is many persons to many people. Some have commended him for his call for a United States of Africa? I have commended him for his spirited effort at bringing Africa closer to a more effective union. But one has reasons to second-guess his motives. Was Gaddafi ever serious with this call, seeking sincerely the goodwill of Africa, or he was just looking for a grander platform to rub his ego.
It is instructive to note that when African countries were not moving towards union fast enough, Gaddafi ghost-organised a meeting of African kings who then go ahead to crown him as the King of Kings of Africa. He also declared himself as the Imam of Imams at an Arab League meeting, walking out of a meeting of Arabs heads of states, in antagonism to the Saudi King Abdullah.
Anybody who sincerely wants the unity of Africa and its prosperity would not call for its disintegration. Rather, he would seek ways by which unity could be made lucrative. However, Gaddafi failed this test, as he called for the split of Nigeria along religious lines when religious tensions heated up between Muslim and Christians in Jos. This pointed to another contradiction in the Libyan leader.
What could have been his motive to have betrayed his life-long dream of Africa unity. It is on record that Gaddafi’s personal commitment and push was instrumental in the transformation of the lame-duck Organization of African Unity into the Africa Union. However, his passion for incendiary remarks, what in Nigeria would be called diarrhoea of the mouth is rubbishing his great record of service.
Another contradiction in Moammar Gaddafi is quite recent. He wanted the world to believe that the revolutionaries are being edged on by al-Qaeda, but now that it seems the tide is flowing in his favour in the conflict, Gaddafi has threatened the West that he would liaise with al-Qaeda to fight the West. Something doesn’t ring right there. If al Qaeda has sponsored an insurgency against you, why would you it be the same al Qaeda that you work with again?
Though Gaddafi gradually looks as if he would survive the revolution, the Emperor’s authority has been challenged, and it is expected that for some time now, he would go back to his pariah status.
Issues from the conflict
It is marked that the West was reluctant to support the Libyan revolutionaries. Whatever the ‘real’ reasons, the fact that Tunisia and Egypt unplugged their long-term rulers without Western support could have encouraged the foot-dragging on whether to help the Libyans stop Gaddafi or not. But anybody would know that neither President Zine Abideen Ben Ali nor President Hosni Mubarak had the level of brutality to kill people wanting to free themselves of tyranny as Gaddafi had done. They should have known that Gaddafi could not have been an easy ruler to remove. An earlier action would have saved a lot of lives, and avoided this bust of activities we have seen in recent days.
If Gaddafi wins, which he may, the world should expect many more deaths. Gaddafi does not look if he would forgive the insurgents. We could just expect that large scale genocides might happen against his ‘enemies’.
Whatever the outcome which would become clearer in the coming days, the Emperor has shown us that there are more contradictions to him than we might thought before.
Thursday, February 10, 2011
Headfirst into the Muddle!

I borrowed this title from Kola Tubosun’s 2003 collection of poetry Headfirst Into The Meddle to exemplify how African leaders, especially those from the south of the Sahara, have been shying away from discussing the crises in North Africa. No diplomatic moves have been made; no pronouncements; no policy statements. The response of many of Africa’s leaders to the uprising in Egypt and Tunisia to me is a way of burying their heads deep down in the muddle.
So far, the revolution spreading through the north of our continent has been labeled as a Middle East /Arab Revolution. There have been mirrors of the upsets in several other Arab countries: Yemen’s President Saleh has vowed not to seek for election any longer when he finishes with his term in 2013 (first elected in 1973); Jordan has replaced its prime minister; Algeria has signaled to repeal the emergency law in force for decades now; there have been minor unrests in Sudan. All these are countries with a majority of Arabs.
There is a pattern to the riots. They have been more profound in countries where the leaders have overstayed their welcome. In the countries mentioned above, the leaders have spent an average of 30 years (that’s a generation!) lording over the people, and refusing to be led! The people are bound to get tired of a one-man show at one time or another.
What happens to the countries of sub-Saharan Africa? The conditions in these places are sometimes not even as bad as what we have down here. Many of these ‘Arab’ countries have great infrastructures that we lack. As their leaders have been maximum rulers, so do we have our own. Egyptians are complaining of the 30 year rule of President Hosni Mubarak; what do we say of the rules of both Robert Mugabe and Paul Biya in Zimbabwe and Cameroon respectively. Both have presided over their countries for three decades now, just like Hosni Mubarak.
The fact that the crises in North Africa are as much our own crises has thus incapacitated the leaders of sub-Saharan African countries from making any comments on these crises. Would Robert Mugabe or Paul Biya for instance ask Hosni Mugabe to stand down and stop the repression of the people, knowing that they suffer from the same syndrome? No. Rather than have a definitive answer to the crises spreading in our northern hemisphere, our leaders have preferred to run underground, headfirst into the muddle!
The popular uprising in the Arab world is not the first time it would happen in Africa (and it will not be the last). In 1993, Nigerians, children and adults from all walks of life rejected the continuing rule of Gen. Babangida. Popular protests, strike actions etc. forced the general to step down, the same way Zine al-Abeedeen Ben Ali of Tunisia did, on the day he would mark his eighth year as Nigeria’s leader.
As it is presently, not many African leaders have the moral upstanding to rebuke Hosni Mubarak or to declare their support for the people as the United States of America has done. Compared to Egypt’s or Tunisia’s speck in the eye, we have a whole log in our eyes, and thus continue to shy away from the truth. And who are we to point out the speck in somebody’s eye when we have a log in ours?
I believe it is not because the social upheavals in much of the Arab world are none of our concerns that we have not had responses to them; it is because the leaders fear a threat to their grip on power and rule. However, the people are bound to see through this deception. Sooner or later, the people would realize that the leaders’ reluctance to issue statements on the crises in Egypt is not an excuse not to meddle in the internal affairs of a sovereign country, but to maintain their hold on power. When this deception is blown, then sub-Sahara Africa could get ready for its wave of uprising. Zimbabwean prime minister Morgan Tsvangirai has already hinted of the possibility of this in Zimbabwe.
The only way that such grand social upheaval could be averted is when leaders realize that there is time for everything, and one of the greatest services they could do for their country is to leave peacefully when their time is up.